Publications
Books
- Sensitivity Analysis for Business, Technology, and Policymaking. Made Easy with Simulation Decomposition (SimDec)
Taylor & Francis / Routledge (Open Access)
A practical introduction to sensitivity analysis and uncertainty analysis with SimDec and multiple application cases.
Methodology
- Simple Binning Algorithm and SimDec Visualization for Comprehensive Sensitivity Analysis of Complex Computational Models
Journal of Environmental Informatics Letters
Testing and validating the Simple Binning Approach (SBA) for first- and second-order sensitivity indices, and showing why visualization is essential for interpreting interaction effects. - Simulation Decomposition in Python
Journal of Open Source Software
Introduces the official Python package for Simulation Decomposition and the no-code interactive web dashboard. - Uncovering heterogeneous effects in computational models for sustainable decision-making
Environmental Modelling & Software
Introduces an algorithm for the detection of the most important variables, making SimDec fully automatic. - The Importance of Intelligent Colouring for Simulation Decomposition in Environmental Analysis
Journal of Environmental Informatics Letters
Clarifies the colouring algorithm in SimDec and demonstrates why correct colour logic is essential for revealing interactions. - Visual Analytics in Environmental Decision-Making: A Comparison of Overlay Charts versus Simulation Decomposition
Journal of Environmental Informatics Letters
A detailed comparison of overlay charts (common in commercial Monte Carlo software) versus SimDec. - Monte Carlo Enhancement via Simulation Decomposition: A “Must-Have” Inclusion for Many Disciplines
INFORMS Transactions on Education
Streamlined SimDec visualization algorithm and Excel implementation for teaching and cross-disciplinary use. (No sensitivity indices yet)
Applications
- How to Scale a 3D Concrete Printing Facility? A Stochastic Decision-Support Framework for Production Investment
Journal of Information Technology in Construction (ITcon)
SimDec is used to interpret simulations of strategic decision variables in scaling a 3D concrete printing facility. - Initial opportunity selection for deep technologies: Deep Technology Opportunity Navigator (DTON)
Technovation
Develops a tool for deep-tech startups to navigate technology and market options. - Comparative Analysis of the Datar-Mathews Real Options Method and Simulation Decomposition for Strategic Environmental Decision-Making
Journal of Environmental Informatics Letters
A comparison between the simulation-based real options method and SimDec, clarifying when pricing flexibility is appropriate and when global sensitivity analysis provides additional strategic insight. - Decomposing uncertainty of greenhouse gas emission reduction costs in MSW management: A case study
Waste Management
Applying SimDec to decompose uncertainty in greenhouse gas abatement costs in municipal solid waste management. - Fatigue strength assessment of arc-welded aluminum joints by local approaches
International Journal of Fatigue
Evaluation of local fatigue approaches for welded aluminum — enhanced with SimDec-based global sensitivity analysis. - Simulation Decomposition Analysis of the Iowa Food–Water–Energy System
Environmental Modelling & Software
Applying SimDec to a large-scale food–water–energy nexus model to reveal multi-level sensitivities and aggregate-variable effects in nitrogen export. - Simulation-Based Fatigue Assessment Using the 4R Method in Different Load Conditions
European Journal of Mechanics / A Solids
Applying SimDec within a simulation-based fatigue framework to analyze material uncertainty and cyclic behavior in welded steel joints. - Techno-economic Analysis of E-Methanol Infrastructure Choices for Finland
Energy
Where should e-methanol be produced when renewable electricity and CO₂ sources are far apart? A national case study comparing transport of electricity, hydrogen, and CO₂. - Global Sensitivity Analysis of Nuclear District Heating Reactor Primary Heat Exchanger and Pressure Vessel Optimization
Energy
Applying SimDec to an engineering optimization model reveals how external uncertainties and optimized design variables jointly shape system performance. - Extending System Dynamics Modeling Using Simulation Decomposition to Improve the Urban Planning Process
Frontiers in Sustainable Cities
Applying SimDec to system dynamics models in urban planning to reveal hidden interactions in complex social systems. - Risk Assessment of Investment Projects Using the Simulation Decomposition Method
Lecture Notes in Networks and Systems, Springer
Independent application of Simulation Decomposition for investment project risk assessment. - Effects of Weather on Iowa Nitrogen Export Estimated by Simulation-Based Decomposition
Sustainability
Researchers independently apply SimDec to analyze how weather variability affects nitrogen export in Iowa’s food-energy-water system. - Ex-Ante Study of Biofuel Policies – Analyzing Policy-Induced Flexibility
Sustainability
A case study comparing Simulation Decomposition and the fuzzy pay-off method. - Extending Simulation Decomposition Analysis into Systemic Risk Planning for Domino-Like Cascading Effects in Environmental Systems
Journal of Environmental Informatics Letters
A short letter exploring SimDec for models with cascading risks. - Technical Advances in Aviation Electrification: Enhancing Strategic R&D Investment Analysis through Simulation Decomposition
Sustainability
First collaboration with in-house engineers applying SimDec to aviation electrification R&D planning. - Simulation Decomposition for Environmental Sustainability: Enhanced Decision-Making in Carbon Footprint Analysis
Socio-Economic Planning Sciences
First practitioner-led application of SimDec to an existing life-cycle assessment model. - Multi-Variable Simulation Decomposition in Environmental Planning: An Application to Carbon Capture and Storage
Journal of Environmental Informatics Letters
The first try of SimDec on a different application. Success. - Simulation Decomposition: New Approach for Better Simulation Analysis of Multi-Variable Investment Projects
Fuzzy Economic Review, Vol. 21(2)
The very first SimDec publication. Here SimDec appears as a case-specific enhancement to Monte Carlo simulation, long before we realized it could become a general method.
